Today's stories that matter

August 18, 2025

It’s Fed-watch week: minutes and Jackson Hole will steer rate odds. Big-box retail earnings take the pulse of spending, China re-ups growth support, fresh chip tariffs loom, and Google’s SMR plan hints at a new energy backbone for AI.

Fixed Income
High Impact

🏦 Fed week: Jackson Hole & FOMC minutes take center stage

#1

Markets head into a policy-heavy stretch: FOMC minutes on Wed, Aug 20, and Chair Powell at Jackson Hole on Fri, Aug 22. Traders want clues on whether a September cut is still in play and how the Fed reads sticky services inflation and cooling growth.

Why it matters:

The Fed’s tone shapes borrowing costs for mortgages and businesses—and sets the backdrop for stocks, bonds, and the dollar.

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Equities
Medium Impact

🛒 Retail heavyweights report: Home Depot, Lowe’s, Target, Walmart

#2

A big retail lineup hits: Home Depot (Tue), Lowe’s (Wed), Target (Wed Aug 20), Walmart (Thu Aug 21). Watch the mix between DIY softness and pro-contractor demand, plus traffic, margins, and shrink.

Why it matters:

These names are a front-row seat to consumer health—useful for gauging resilience in housing-linked and staple spending.

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Equities
Medium Impact

🌏 China pledges support for spending and housing

#3

Premier Li Qiang reaffirmed measures to lift consumption and stabilize housing, keeping the ~5% growth aim despite external pressures.

Why it matters:

A pro-growth stance from the world’s #2 economy supports commodity demand and gives multinationals a little more breathing room.

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Equities
High Impact

🖥️ New US semiconductor tariffs may be coming soon

#4

The administration signaled tariffs on imported semiconductors (and steel) could roll out in coming weeks—starting modestly to nudge on-shoring, then rising later.

Why it matters:

Chips sit in everything from cars to phones. Higher import taxes can raise prices, squeeze margins, and reroute supply chains.

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Equities
Medium Impact

⚡ Google picks Tennessee SMR to power AI data centers

#5

Google, TVA, and Kairos Power selected Oak Ridge, TN for a fourth-gen small modular reactor (SMR) targeting 2030 operations under a long-term power deal—aimed at feeding energy-hungry AI data centers.

Why it matters:

If successful, nuclear-powered compute could reshape energy costs for tech and shift utility capex toward dependable baseload.

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