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SPACs Are the Biggest Investor Scam Since the Dot-Com Bubble

By
Alexander Harmsen
Alexander Harmsen is the Co-founder and CEO of PortfolioPilot. With a track record of building AI-driven products that have scaled globally, he brings deep expertise in finance, technology, and strategy to create content that is both data-driven and actionable.
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SPACs Are the Biggest Investor Scam Since the Dot-Com Bubble

Over the last few years, SPACs—Special Purpose Acquisition Companies—have exploded in popularity. Celebrities backed them. Wall Street pushed them. Retail investors jumped in.

And now? Many of those same investors are wondering where their money went.

SPACs were sold as a fast-track to owning the next big thing. But behind the hype lies a structure riddled with misaligned incentives, poor performance, and costly outcomes for everyday investors.

This article breaks down what SPACs are, why they became so popular, and why most of them fail to deliver what they promise.

Key Takeaways

  • SPACs are shell companies created to take private companies public without the traditional IPO process.
  • While they offer speed and flexibility, many SPACs have underperformed post-merger.
  • The structure often rewards sponsors and insiders—even if the deal is bad.
  • Most retail investors who buy in after the merger lose money.

What Is a SPAC, Really?

A SPAC starts as an empty shell company. It raises money through an IPO with the promise to merge with a private company within 18–24 months.

How it works:

  1. Investors buy shares (usually at $10 each).
  2. The SPAC goes public, but holds no business operations.
  3. Sponsors search for a target company to acquire.
  4. After a merger, the private company becomes public via the SPAC’s shell.

Sounds efficient—but the devil is in the details.

Why SPACs Took Off

  • Low interest rates pushed investors to chase riskier assets.
  • Regulatory arbitrage made SPACs faster and easier than IPOs.
  • Celebrity endorsements (like Shaquille O’Neal and Chamath Palihapitiya) fueled retail hype.
  • Social media and commission-free trading made access easier than ever.

For a while, it seemed like every week brought another hot SPAC deal. But most failed to live up to expectations.

Where Things Go Wrong for Investors

Misaligned Incentives

SPAC sponsors typically receive 20% of shares for free (known as the “promote”). That means:

  • Sponsors can profit even if the stock tanks after the merger.
  • There’s pressure to close any deal before the deadline—good or bad.

Lack of Due Diligence

Unlike traditional IPOs, SPAC mergers face less scrutiny. This opens the door for:

  • Overly optimistic projections
  • Poor-quality businesses going public
  • Inadequate financial disclosures

Post-Merger Performance

Data shows SPACs tend to underperform significantly:

  • A study by Michael Klausner, Michael Ohlrogge, and Emily Ruan found that SPACs lost an average of 35% in value within a year after the merger.
  • Many fall below their $10 issue price, leaving retail investors with losses.

Why Retail Investors Often Lose

Many investors buy SPACs after the merger—when the hype is peaking and valuations are inflated. But by then:

  • Insiders may be cashing out.
  • The “real” business is exposed.
  • Price momentum fades, leaving late buyers with losses.

It’s a classic “buy high, sell low” setup—driven by excitement instead of fundamentals.

Are All SPACs Bad?

Not necessarily. Some successful companies have gone public via SPAC. But they’re the exception—not the rule.

Unless the investor:

  • Fully understands the target company
  • Gets in early (before or at the SPAC IPO)
  • Is prepared for extreme volatility

...they’re likely taking on more risk than reward.

Investor’s Due Diligence Checklist

Before considering a SPAC investment, it’s worth verifying a few key items:

  • Target Company Fundamentals – Does it have real revenue, a competitive moat, and a credible management team?
  • Sponsor Reputation – Have previous SPACs from this sponsor created value—or destroyed it?
  • Warrant & Redemption Terms – Are there hidden dilution risks? Can you redeem your shares pre-merger if needed?
  • PIPE Participation – Are respected institutional investors involved? Their presence can be a quality signal.

SPACs can work—but only when approached with sharp analysis and a healthy dose of skepticism.

SPAC Investing — FAQs

What was the typical issue price for SPAC IPO shares?
SPAC IPO shares are generally issued at $10 each, with value erosion occurring when post-merger trading drops below that baseline.
What incentive pressures do SPAC sponsors face as deadlines near?
Because sponsors profit from closing any deal, they may push through lower-quality mergers before the 18–24 month deadline, creating risk for outside investors.
How did celebrity endorsements affect SPAC demand?
High-profile endorsements from figures like athletes and venture investors amplified retail interest, adding to speculative demand during the SPAC boom.
What common myth about SPACs misleads investors?
A common misconception is that SPACs are a low-risk shortcut to high-growth companies, but in practice, most have significantly underperformed after merging.
Can SPAC terms expose investors to hidden dilution?
Yes. Warrant structures and redemption terms can dilute remaining shareholders if not carefully reviewed, reducing long-term returns after the merger closes.
What due diligence should investors perform before considering a SPAC?
Key checks include the fundamentals of the target company, the sponsor’s track record, PIPE investor involvement, and the terms of redemption and warrants.
What structural flaw often disadvantages retail investors in SPACs?
SPAC sponsors can profit through their promote regardless of whether long-term investors lose money, creating misaligned incentives between insiders and retail holders.
Did all SPACs underperform, or were there exceptions?
While most SPACs fell short, a minority of deals have created value. However, these are exceptions, and success depends on early entry and high-quality targets.
How can PIPE investor participation serve as a signal?
Institutional participation in a private investment in public equity (PIPE) may indicate stronger deal quality, though outcomes remain uncertain for public investors.
Why is the “buy high, sell low” pattern common in SPAC investing?
Retail investors often buy after hype-driven runups, only to face fading momentum and insider selling once the merger closes, creating a poor entry point.

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1: As of February 20, 2025